Problem 51
Medium Classical Probability

A deck of 36 cards is randomly divided into two equal parts.…

A deck of $36$ cards is randomly divided into two equal parts. What is the probability that both parts will contain the same number of red and black cards?

Explanation of Method

The split is determined by which $18$ cards go into the first half; all $\binom{36}{18}$ choices are equally likely. The deck has $18$ red and $18$ black cards. The event means that the first half has $9$ red and $9$ black cards (then the second half automatically also has $9$ of each). We count such halves with combinations and divide.

Step 1: The deck

A 36-card deck has $4$ suits of $9$ cards: two red suits (hearts, diamonds) and two black suits (spades, clubs). So there are $18$ red and $18$ black cards.

Step 2: All outcomes

A random split is completely described by the set of $18$ cards that land in the first half (the rest form the second half). All such sets are equally likely:

\[ \binom{36}{18} = 9\,075\,135\,300. \]

Step 3: What does the event mean?

"Both parts have equally many red and black cards." Each half has $18$ cards, so this means each half has $9$ red and $9$ black. It is enough to require it for the first half: if the first half has $9$ red and $9$ black, the second half gets the remaining $18-9=9$ red and $18-9=9$ black.

Step 4: Favourable outcomes

Choose $9$ of the $18$ red cards and $9$ of the $18$ black cards for the first half:

\[ \binom{18}{9}\cdot\binom{18}{9} = 48\,620^2 = 2\,363\,904\,400. \]

Step 5: The probability

\[ \boxed{P = \frac{\binom{18}{9}^2}{\binom{36}{18}} = \frac{2\,363\,904\,400}{9\,075\,135\,300} \approx 0.2605.} \]

So only about one split in four is perfectly balanced — even though $9$–$9$ is the most likely single result.

Step 6: The whole picture

Let $R$ be the number of red cards in the first half. By the hypergeometric formula (Problem 37), $P(R=j) = \binom{18}{j}\binom{18}{18-j}/\binom{36}{18}$:

$R$ (red in first half)$9$$8$ or $10$$7$ or $11$$6$ or $12$other
probability$0.260$$0.422$$0.223$$0.076$$0.018$

The value $9$ is the most likely, but values near it together are much more likely.


Result

Answer
All splits$\binom{36}{18}$
Balanced splits$\binom{18}{9}^2$
Probability$\binom{18}{9}^2/\binom{36}{18}\approx0.260$