Problem 50
Easy Classical Probability

From a deck of 52 cards, three cards are drawn at random.…

From a deck of $52$ cards, three cards are drawn at random. Find the probability that these three cards will be a three, a seven and an ace.

Explanation of Method

The order of drawing does not matter, so an outcome is a group of $3$ cards out of $52$. A favourable group contains one three (4 choices of suit), one seven (4 choices) and one ace (4 choices). We count, divide, and check the result by drawing the cards one at a time in order.

Step 1: All outcomes

\[ \binom{52}{3} = \frac{52\cdot51\cdot50}{6} = 22\,100. \]

Step 2: Favourable outcomes

The deck has four threes, four sevens and four aces. Choose one of each:

\[ 4\cdot4\cdot4 = 64. \]

Step 3: The probability

\[ \boxed{P = \frac{64}{22\,100} = \frac{16}{5525} \approx 0.0029.} \]

That is roughly $1$ chance in $345$.

Step 4: Check by drawing in order

Draw the cards one by one. The first card must be a three, seven or ace: $\frac{12}{52}$. The second must be one of the two remaining ranks: $\frac{8}{51}$. The third must be the last rank: $\frac{4}{50}$.

\[ P = \frac{12}{52}\cdot\frac{8}{51}\cdot\frac{4}{50} = \frac{384}{132\,600} = \frac{16}{5525}. \ \checkmark \]

Step 5: A common mistake

$\frac{4}{52}\cdot\frac{4}{51}\cdot\frac{4}{50}$ is the probability of drawing them in the order three, seven, ace. Since any of the $3!=6$ orders is acceptable, multiply by $6$: $6\cdot\frac{64}{132\,600}=\frac{16}{5525}$.


Result

Answer
Favourable / all$4\cdot4\cdot4=64$ of $\binom{52}{3}=22\,100$
Probability$16/5525\approx0.0029$