Given p=P(A) , q=P(B) , r=P(A+B) . Find P(Atriangle B)…
Given $p=P(A)$, $q=P(B)$, $r=P(A+B)$. Find $P(A\triangle B)$, $P(A\overline{B})$ and $P(\overline{AB})$.
Explanation of Method
We first find the probability of the common part $AB$ from the addition rule $P(A+B)=P(A)+P(B)-P(AB)$. Then we split $A$, $B$ and $\Omega$ into non-overlapping pieces; for non-overlapping (incompatible) events probabilities simply add. Each requested probability is a sum or difference of the piece probabilities. Finally we check the formulas on numbers.
Step 1: The probability of $AB$
The addition rule for two events is
\[ P(A+B) = P(A) + P(B) - P(AB). \]
(Adding $P(A)$ and $P(B)$ counts the common part $AB$ twice, so it is subtracted once.) With our notation $r = p + q - P(AB)$, hence
\[ P(AB) = p + q - r. \]
Step 2: $P(A\overline{B})$ — "$A$ occurs, $B$ does not"
$A$ splits into two incompatible pieces: $A = AB + A\overline{B}$. So $P(A) = P(AB) + P(A\overline{B})$ and
\[ P(A\overline{B}) = P(A) - P(AB) = p - (p+q-r) = r - q. \]
\[ \boxed{P(A\overline{B}) = r - q.} \]
Another way to see it: $A+B = A\overline{B} + B$ (incompatible), so $r = P(A\overline{B}) + q$.
Step 3: $P(A\triangle B)$ — "exactly one occurs"
$A\triangle B = A\overline{B}+\overline{A}B$ with incompatible terms. By symmetry with Step 2, $P(\overline{A}B) = r - p$. So
\[ P(A\triangle B) = (r-q) + (r-p) = 2r - p - q. \]
Check another way: "at least one" = "exactly one" + "both", so $P(A\triangle B) = P(A+B) - P(AB) = r - (p+q-r) = 2r-p-q$. ✓
\[ \boxed{P(A\triangle B) = 2r - p - q.} \]
Step 4: $P(\overline{AB})$ — "not both occur"
By the rule for the opposite event, $P(\overline{X}) = 1 - P(X)$:
\[ P(\overline{AB}) = 1 - P(AB) = 1 - p - q + r. \]
\[ \boxed{P(\overline{AB}) = 1 - p - q + r.} \]
- the number in each piece is its probability
Step 5: Numerical example
Let $p = 0.5$, $q = 0.4$, $r = 0.7$. Then
| Quantity | Formula | Value |
|---|---|---|
| $P(AB)$ | $p+q-r$ | $0.2$ |
| $P(A\overline{B})$ | $r-q$ | $0.3$ |
| $P(\overline{A}B)$ | $r-p$ | $0.2$ |
| $P(A\triangle B)$ | $2r-p-q$ | $0.5$ |
| $P(\overline{AB})$ | $1-p-q+r$ | $0.8$ |
| $P(\overline{A}\,\overline{B})$ | $1-r$ | $0.3$ |
Check: the four pieces add up to $0.3+0.2+0.2+0.3=1$ ✓, and $P(A\overline{B})+P(AB)=0.3+0.2=0.5=p$ ✓.
Step 6: Which values of $p,q,r$ are possible?
All piece probabilities must be between $0$ and $1$. This gives
\[ \max(p,q) \le r \le \min(1,\ p+q). \]
For example $p=0.5$, $q=0.4$, $r=0.3$ is impossible: $A+B$ cannot be less likely than $A$ alone.
Result
| Probability | Answer |
|---|---|
| $P(AB)$ (helper) | $p+q-r$ |
| $P(A\triangle B)$ | $2r-p-q$ |
| $P(A\overline{B})$ | $r-q$ |
| $P(\overline{AB})$ | $1-p-q+r$ |